Signal strategies: 12 of 14 dual-verified · backtested/modelled · independent forward verification underway

αBTC Alpha
14 systematic BTC strategies + 1 accumulation program · non-custodial · open record, no key
Systematic BTC portfolio · two subscribable products

The complete systematic BTC portfolio.

A foundation that accumulated BTC at 53.6% below calendar DCA ($7,173 vs $15,462), plus 14 low-correlation systematic signals — mean pairwise correlation 0.35, about 2.51 independent bets. Non-custodial, backtested, reproducible from public endpoints with no key.

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Two products, independently subscribable, one stack

A barbell for a Bitcoin balance sheet: Gaia is the defensive BTC core — accumulate low, hold your own coins — and the strategies are the uncorrelated alpha sleeve on top. Subscribe to either on its own, or run both. Each number below is reproducible from a keyless public endpoint.

Foundation · defensive BTC core

Gaia

Model your treasury →

Rules-based cycle accumulation that deploys into statistical dips and accumulates below the market's own average. Over the backtested cycle it held at an average cost of $7,173 per BTC. Every figure is reproducible from the keyless GET https://signals.btcalpha.com.au/v1/program/preview.

vs calendar DCA
53.6%
$7,173 vs DCA $15,462
vs period VWAP
75.1%
$7,173 vs VWAP $28,819
Capital in cheapest quartile
52.3%
of cycle prices
Alpha sleeve · on top of Gaia

Strategies

Explore all 14

14 low-correlation systematic signals on BTC-PERPETUAL, adding uncorrelated PnL on top of the accumulation core. Mean pairwise correlation 0.35 — about 2.51 independent bets. Every record is reproducible from the keyless GET /v1/strategies.

Equal-weight book Sharpe
1.58
exceeds every single (≤ 1.37)
Independent bets
2.51
from 14 strategies
Mean pairwise correlation
0.35
lower is better
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The proof — low correlation at book level

14systematic strategies, each backtested ~8 years on BTC-PERPETUAL, net of fees & slippage. Mean pairwise correlation is 0.35, so they behave like about 2.51independent bets. Equal-weight, the book's Sharpe of 1.58 exceeds every one of the 14 strategies individually, at -18.9% max drawdown vs -28.8% for the median single:

Sharpe (risk-adjusted)
1.58
≤ 1.37 any single
Max drawdown
-18.9%
-28.8% median single
Independent bets
2.51
of 14 strategies
Mean correlation
0.35
lower is better

The equal-weight book's Sharpe exceeds every one of the 14 strategies individually — verifiable cell by cell. → methodology

Cross-strategy correlation · daily
Aether
Apollo
Athena
Atlas
Boreas
Eos
Helios
Hyperion
Kronos
Orion
Perseus
Selene
Theia
Triton
Aether
Apollo
Athena
Atlas
Boreas
Eos
Helios
Hyperion
Kronos
Orion
Perseus
Selene
Theia
Triton
−1+1correlation ρ
Hover a cell for pairwise ρ and overlap n
The verification ladder

Every record climbs the same published ladder — nothing skips a rung: engine_backtestedprovisionaldual_verified. A record reaches dual_verifiedonly when the engine's logic reproduces the verified TradingView Pine and the backtested PnL sits within the TradingView-exported band. Today 12 of 14 are dual-verified; the rest are engine-backtested (logic matches, PnL band still tightening). The promotion criterion is independent, forward verification — until that lands a record stays tv_status: provisional. The same verification_state is in the API — curl it and check.

Non-custodial & continuity

Signals are advisory and non-custodial — you hold your own BTC on your own exchange; we hold no custody and place no trades on your behalf. If BTC Alpha ceases operation, you lose a data feed, not your assets— and we commit to at least 30 days' notice before any wind-down. Backtested / modelled, provisional — not advice, not a forecast.

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Verify the record — free, no key

Every track record behind the signals — all 14strategies' stats, returns, equity curves, correlation and a book-level summary, plus the Gaia accumulation preview — is open with no key. Pull it into your own model before you subscribe.

# the free track record — no key
$ curl https://api.btcalpha.com.au/v1/strategies
{
  "data": [{
    "id": "…", "name": "…",
    "verification_state": "dual_verified",
    "tv_status": "provisional",
    "instrument": "BTC-PERPETUAL"
  }],
  "meta": { "basis": "backtested" }
}
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Request access

The record is free to verify. Subscribe to Gaia, the 14 strategies, or both — each is independently subscribable. Live signals fire as each strategy or deployment qualifies. You trade on your own venue, at your own size; we only send the signal. Request-based.

email us · operated by Thomas (Tom) Makin — ISI Australia Pty Ltd, ABN 27 652 105 345 · backtested / modelled historical data, provisional, not advice